Post : The mobile revolution is over. Get ready for the next big thing: Robots
Title : The mobile revolution is over. Get ready for the next big thing: Robots
The mobile revolution is over. Get ready for the next big thing: Robots
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The computer industry moves in waves. We're at the tail end of one of those waves — the mobile revolution.
The robot revolution won't be characterized by white plastic desk lamps following you around asking questions in a creepy little-girl voice, like I saw at last week's Consumer Electronics Show in Las Vegas. That might be a part of it, but a small part.
Rather, it'll be characterized by dozens of devices working on your behalf, invisibly, all the time, to make your life more convenient.
Some people in the industry use the term "artificial intelligence" or "digital assistants." Others talk about "smart" devices. But none of these terms capture how widespread and groundbreaking this revolution will be. This isn't just about a coffee maker that knows to turn itself on when your alarm goes off, or a thermostat that adjusts to your presence.
Companies and entire industries
This is about every piece of technology in your life working together to serve you. Robots everywhere, all the time.
Not like the Roomba. More like the movie "Her."
Where we've been
Every 10 or 15 years, a convergence of favorable economics and technical advances kicks off a revolution in computing. Mainstream culture changes dramatically. New habits are formed. Multi billion-dollar companies are created. Companies and entire industries are disrupted and die.
I've lived through three of these revolutions.
The PC revolution. This kicked off in the 1980s with the early Apple computers and the quick-following IBM PC, followed by the PC clones. Microsoft and Intel were the biggest winners. IBM was most prominent among the big losers, but there were many others — basically, any company that thought computing would remain exclusively in the hands of a few huge computers stored in a data center somewhere. By the end, Microsoft's audacious dream of "a computer on every desk and in every home" was real.
The internet revolution. This kicked off in the mid 1990s with the standardization of various internet protocols, followed by the browser war and the dot-com boom and bust. Amazon and Google were the biggest winners. Industries that relied on physical media and a distribution monopoly, like recorded music and print media, were the biggest losers. By the end, everybody was online and the idea of a business not having a website was absurd.
The mobile revolution. This kicked off in 2007 with the launch of the iPhone. Apple and Samsung were the biggest winners. Microsoft was among the big losers, as its 20-year monopoly on personal computing finally broke.
Launch iphone
APSteve Jobs unveils the first iPhone.
A couple of important points.
First, when a revolution ends, that doesn't mean the revolutionary technology goes away.
Everybody still has a PC. Everybody still uses the internet.
It simply means that the technology is so common and widespread that it's no longer revolutionary. It's taken for granted.
That is the article of The mobile revolution is over. Get ready for the next big thing: Robots
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